Forecasting Total Fertility Rate (TFR) In Namibia

Dr. Smartson. P. NYONIZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, ZimbabweTatenda. A. CHIHOHOIndependent Health Economist, ZimbabweThabani NYONISAGIT Innovation Center, Harare, Zimbabwe

Vol 5 No 8 (2021): Volume 5, Issue 8, August 2021 | Pages: 327-330

International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology

OPEN ACCESS | Research Article | Published Date: 24-09-2021

doi Logo doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2021.508071

Abstract

 In this research article, the ANN approach was applied to analyze TFR in Namibia. The employed annual data covers the period 1960-2018 and the out-of-sample period ranges over the period 2019-2030. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied model indicate that the model is stable in forecasting TFR in Namibia. The results of the study indicate that annual total fertility rates in Namibia are likely to remain around 3.4 births per woman over the out-of-sample period. Therefore, the Namibian government is encouraged to focus on addressing challenges being faced by adolescents and young adults in accessing sexual and reproductive (SRH) services and to channel more resources towards women empowerment program activities.

Keywords

ANN, Forecasting, Total fertility rate (TFR).


Citation of this Article

Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO, Thabani NYONI, “Forecasting Total Fertility Rate (TFR) In Namibia” Published in International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology - IRJIET, Volume 5, Issue 8, pp 327-330, August 2021. Article DOI https://doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2021.508071

References
  1. Worldometer (2020). Namibia demographics. https://www.worldometers.info
  2.  UNFPA (2019). REPUBLIC OF NAMIBIA Sexual and Reproductive Health and Rights 2019, pp1-4.