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DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET

Forecasting Total Fertility Rate (TFR) In Peru

Dr. Smartson. P. NYONIZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, ZimbabweTatenda. A. CHIHOHOIndependent Health Economist, ZimbabweThabani NYONISAGIT Innovation Center, Harare, Zimbabwe

Vol 5 No 8 (2021): Volume 5, Issue 8, August 2021 | Pages: 396-399

International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology

OPEN ACCESS | Research Article | Published Date: 24-09-2021

doi Logo doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2021.508088

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Abstract
In this research paper, the ANN approach was applied to analyze TFR in Peru. The employed annual data covers the period 1960-2018 and the out-of-sample period ranges over the period 2019-2030. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied model indicate that the model is stable in forecasting TFR in Peru. The results of the study indicate that annual total fertility rates in Peru are likely to decline slightly over the out-of-sample period. Therefore, the authorities in the country are encouraged to continuously focus on addressing challenges faced by adolescents and young adults in accessing family planning services as well as women empowerment.
Keywords

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Citation of this Article

Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO, Thabani NYONI, “Forecasting Total Fertility Rate (TFR) In Peru” Published in International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology - IRJIET, Volume 5, Issue 8, pp 396-399, August 2021. Article DOI https://doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2021.508088
Licence Copyright (c) 2026 International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology creative common licence This work is licensed under Creative common Attribution Non Commercial 4.0 Internation Licence
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