Forecasting Total Fertility Rate (TFR) In Senegal

Abstract

In this research article, the ANN approach was applied to analyze TFR in Senegal. The employed annual data covers the period 1960-2018 and the out-of-sample period ranges over the period 2019-2030. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied model indicate that the model is stable in forecasting TFR in Senegal. The results of the study indicate that annual total fertility rates in Senegal are likely to remain around 5.0 births per woman over the out-of-sample period. Therefore, the Senegalese government should prioritize creating demand for family planning services, tackling system challenges that hinder access to sexual and reproductive health (SRH) services among adolescents and young adults, and channel more resources towards women empowerment programs.

Country : Zimbabwe

1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO3 Thabani NYONI

  1. ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
  2. Independent Health Economist, Zimbabwe
  3. SAGIT Innovation Center, Harare, Zimbabwe

IRJIET, Volume 5, Issue 8, August 2021 pp. 375-378

doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2021.508083

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