Forecasting Total Fertility Rate (TFR) In Slovenia

Abstract

In this research article, the ANN approach was applied to analyze TFR in Slovenia. The employed annual data covers the period 1960-2018 and the out-of-sample period ranges over the period 2019-2030. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied model indicate that the model is stable in forecasting TFR in Slovenia. The results of the study indicate that annual total fertility rates in Slovenia are likely to remain around 2 births per woman over the out-of-sample period. Therefore, the authorities in Slovenia should create more demand for family planning services and address challenges being faced by adolescents and young adults in accessing sexual and reproductive health (SRH) services as well as women empowerment.

Country : Zimbabwe

1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO3 Thabani NYONI

  1. ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
  2. SAGIT Innovation Center, Harare, Zimbabwe
  3. SAGIT Innovation Center, Harare, Zimbabwe

IRJIET, Volume 5, Issue 8, August 2021 pp. 388-391

doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2021.508086

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