Forecasting Total Fertility Rate (TFR) In Uzbekistan
Abstract
In this study, the
ANN approach was applied to analyze TFR in Uzbekistan. The employed annual data
covers the period 1960-2018 and the out-of-sample period ranges over the period
2019-2030. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE)
of the applied model indicate that the model is stable in forecasting TFR in
Uzbekistan. The results of the study indicate that annual total fertility rates in Uzbekistan are likely to hover around 2 births per woman
over the out-of-sample period. Therefore, authorities in Uzbekistan are
encouraged to focus on improving
access to sexual and reproductive health (SRH) services among adolescents and
young adults and fund women empowerment programs.
Country : Zimbabwe
1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO3 Thabani NYONI
ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
Independent Health Economist, Zimbabwe
SAGIT Innovation Center, Harare, Zimbabwe
IRJIET, Volume 5, Issue 8, August 2021 pp. 486-489
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