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DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET

Forecasting Total Fertility Rate (TFR) In the United Arab Emirates (UAE)

Dr. Smartson. P. NYONIZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, ZimbabweTatenda. A. CHIHOHOIndependent Health Economist, ZimbabweThabani NYONISAGIT Innovation Center, Harare, Zimbabwe

Vol 5 No 8 (2021): Volume 5, Issue 8, August 2021 | Pages: 490-493

International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology

OPEN ACCESS | Research Article | Published Date: 24-09-2021

doi Logo doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2021.508111

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Abstract
In this research paper, the ANN approach was applied to analyze TFR in the United Arab Emirates (UAE). The employed annual data covers the period 1960-2018 and the out-of-sample period ranges over the period 2019-2030. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied model indicate that the model is stable in forecasting TFR in the UAE. The results of the study indicate that annual total fertility rates in the UAE are likely to hover around 2 births per woman over the out-of-sample period. Therefore, the authorities in the country are encouraged to continuously focus on addressing challenges faced by adolescents and young adults in accessing family planning services as well as women empowerment.
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Citation of this Article

Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO, Thabani NYONI, “Forecasting Total Fertility Rate (TFR) In the United Arab Emirates (UAE)” Published in International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology - IRJIET, Volume 5, Issue 8, pp 490-493, August 2021. Article DOI https://doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2021.508111

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