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DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET

Forecasting Total Fertility Rate (TFR) in Bangladesh

Dr. Smartson. P. NYONIZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, ZimbabweTatenda. A. CHIHOHOIndependent Health Economist, ZimbabweThabani NYONISAGIT Innovation Center, Harare, Zimbabwe

Vol 5 No 8 (2021): Volume 5, Issue 8, August 2021 | Pages: 147-150

International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology

OPEN ACCESS | Research Article | Published Date: 14-09-2021

doi Logo doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2021.508028

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Abstract
In this research article, the ANN approach was applied to analyze TFR in Bangladesh. The employed annual data covers the period 1960-2018 and the out-of-sample period ranges over the period 2019-2030. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied model indicate that the model is stable in forecasting TFR in Bangladesh. The results of the study indicate that annual total fertility rates in Bangladesh are likely to be around 2.2 births per woman over the out-of-sample period. Therefore, we encourage the authorities in Bangladesh to continue improving the quality of family planning services to minimize adverse maternal and child health outcomes. 
Keywords

ANN, Forecasting, Total fertility rate (TFR).


Citation of this Article

Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO, Thabani NYONI, “Forecasting Total Fertility Rate (TFR) in Bangladesh” Published in International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology - IRJIET, Volume 5, Issue 8, pp 147-150, August 2021. Article DOI https://doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2021.508028

Licence Copyright (c) 2026 International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology creative common licence This work is licensed under Creative common Attribution Non Commercial 4.0 Internation Licence
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