International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology - IRJIET International Open Access, Monthly, Peer Reviewed, Reputed Journal ISSN (online): 2581-3048

Impact Factor (2025): 6.9

DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET

Forecasting Total Fertility Rate (TFR) in Bangladesh

Abstract

In this research article, the ANN approach was applied to analyze TFR in Bangladesh. The employed annual data covers the period 1960-2018 and the out-of-sample period ranges over the period 2019-2030. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied model indicate that the model is stable in forecasting TFR in Bangladesh. The results of the study indicate that annual total fertility rates in Bangladesh are likely to be around 2.2 births per woman over the out-of-sample period. Therefore, we encourage the authorities in Bangladesh to continue improving the quality of family planning services to minimize adverse maternal and child health outcomes.  

Country : Zimbabwe

1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO3 Thabani NYONI

  1. ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
  2. Independent Health Economist, Zimbabwe
  3. SAGIT Innovation Center, Harare, Zimbabwe

IRJIET, Volume 5, Issue 8, August 2021 pp. 147-150

doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2021.508028

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References

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