Forecasting Total Fertility Rate (TFR) in Botswana
Abstract
In this research
article, the ANN approach was applied to analyze TFR in Botswana. The employed
annual data covers the period 1960-2018 and the out-of-sample period ranges
over the period 2019-2030. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria
(Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied model indicate that the model is stable in
forecasting TFR in Botswana. The results of the study indicate that annual total fertility rates in Botswana are
likely to slightly rise over the out-of-sample period. Therefore, we
encourage the government of Botswana to create more demand for family planning services
and create youth friendly health facilities to enable easy access to sexual and
reproductive health (SRH) services.
Country : Zimbabwe
1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO3 Thabani NYONI
ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
Independent Health Economist, Zimbabwe
SAGIT Innovation Center, Harare, Zimbabwe
IRJIET, Volume 5, Issue 8, August 2021 pp. 175-178
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