Forecasting Total Fertility Rate (TFR) in Cameroon

Dr. Smartson. P. NYONIZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, ZimbabweTatenda. A. CHIHOHOIndependent Health Economist, ZimbabweThabani NYONISAGIT Innovation Center, Harare, Zimbabwe

Vol 5 No 8 (2021): Volume 5, Issue 8, August 2021 | Pages: 127-130

International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology

OPEN ACCESS | Research Article | Published Date: 14-09-2021

doi Logo doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2021.508023

Abstract
In this research article, the ANN approach was applied to analyze TFR in Cameroon. The employed annual data covers the period 1960-2018 and the out-of-sample period ranges over the period 2019-2030. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied model indicate that the model is stable in forecasting TFR in Cameroon. The results of the study indicate that annual total fertility rates in Cameroon are likely to rise over the out-of-sample period. Therefore, the authorities in Cameroon should create more demand for family planning services and address challenges being faced by adolescents and young adults in accessing sexual and reproductive health (SRH) services as well as women empowerment.
Keywords

ANN, Forecasting, Total fertility rate (TFR).


Citation of this Article

Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO, Thabani NYONI, “Forecasting Total Fertility Rate (TFR) in Cameroon” Published in International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology - IRJIET, Volume 5, Issue 8, pp 127-130, August 2021. Article DOI https://doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2021.508023

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