Forecasting Total Fertility Rate (TFR) in Carbo Verde

In this research article, the ANN approach was applied to analyze TFR in Carbo Verde. The employed annual data covers the period 1960-2018 and the out-of-sample period ranges over the period 2019-2030. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied model indicate that the model is stable in forecasting TFR in Carbo Verde. The results of the study indicate that annual total fertility rates in Carbo Verde are likely to decline slightly over the out-of-sample period. Therefore, the government should create more youth friendly health facilities to improve access to sexual and reproductive health (SRH) services among adolescents and young adults.