Impact Factor (2025): 6.9
DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET
The
International conference on Population and Development took place in the
Egyptian Capital, Cairo in 1994 and triggered the recognition of sexual and
reproductive health rights as fundamental human rights. Violation of sexual and
reproductive health rights especially those of adolescent girls and women is
common around the world. Sociocultural, demographic and spatial factors are the
major determinants of fertility. In this research paper, the ANN approach was
applied to analyze TFR in Egypt. The employed annual data covers the period
1960-2018 and the out-of-sample period ranges over the period 2019-2030. The
residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied
model indicate that the model is stable in forecasting TFR in Egypt. The
results of the study indicate that annual total fertility rates in Egypt are generally likely to rise slightly over
the out-of-sample period.
Therefore, the Egyptian government is encouraged to improve
accessibility of sexual and reproductive health (SRH) services especially among
adolescents and young adults to prevent unintended pregnancies and other adverse SRH outcomes.
Country : Zimbabwe
IRJIET, Volume 5, Issue 8, August 2021 pp. 139-142