In this piece of
work, the ANN approach was applied to analyze TFR in Libya. The employed annual
data covers the period 1960-2018 and the out-of-sample period ranges over the
period 2019-2030. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and
MAE) of the applied model indicate that the model is stable in forecasting TFR
in Libya. The results of the study indicate that annual total fertility rates in Libya are likely to hover around 2.4 births per woman
throughout the out-of-sample period. Therefore, the Libyan government is encouraged
to continue improving
access to family planning services to minimize adverse maternal and child
health outcomes, and promotion of women empowerment and rights.
Country : Zimbabwe
1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO3 Thabani NYONI
ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
Independent Health Economist, Zimbabwe
SAGIT Innovation Center, Harare, Zimbabwe
IRJIET, Volume 5, Issue 8, August 2021 pp. 272-275
US Central Intelligence Agency (2019). The
World Fact book: Libya. 2019. https://www.cia.gov/library/
publications/the-world-fact book/geos/print_ly.html
United Nations Office for the Coordination
of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA). Humanitarian Needs Overview Libya 2020. OCHA.
2020. https://reliefweb.int/sites/reliefweb.int/files/resources/
2020SomaliaHumanitarianNeedsOverview.pdf
International Organization for Migration
(IOM) (2020). IOM Facts about Migration in Libya. IOM. https://
libya.iom.int/sites/default/files/news/FactsaboutmigrationinLibyav5.pdf
United Nations Support Mission in Libya
(UNSMIL); Office of the High Commissioner of Human Rights (OHCHR). Desperate
and Dangerous: Report on the human rights situation of migrants and refugees in
Libya. UNSMIL & OHCHR. 2018; 1–61. Available:
https://www.ohchr.org/Documents/Countries/LY/ LibyaMigrationReport.pdf
Human Rights Watch (HRW) (2019). No escape
from hell. EU Policies Contribute to Abuse of Migrants in Libya. https://reliefweb.int/sites/reliefweb.int/files/resources/eu0119_web_0.pdf
Global Detention Project (GDP) (2018).
Country report. Immigraton detention in Libya: “A human rights crisis.” GDP.
2018.
https://reliefweb.int/sites/reliefweb.int/files/resources/GDP-Immigration-Detention-Libya.
pdf.