Impact Factor (2025): 6.9
DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET
In
this research article, the ANN approach was applied to analyze TFR in Sao Tome
and Principe. The employed annual data covers the period 1960-2018 and the
out-of-sample period ranges over the period 2019-2030. The residuals and
forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied model indicate
that the model is stable in forecasting TFR in Sao Tome and Principe. The
results of the study indicate that annual total fertility rates in Sao Tome and Principe are likely to initially rise from 4.6 births
per woman in 2019 to 5.87 births per woman in 2025 and then decline to 4.42
births per woman in 2030. Therefore, the
authorities in Sao Tome and Principe should focus on addressing adolescent and young
adult challenges, create more demand for family planning services and channel more funds towards women empowerment
program activities.
Country : Zimbabwe
IRJIET, Volume 5, Issue 8, August 2021 pp. 319-322