Projection of Total Fertility Rate (TFR) in Brazil
Abstract
In this research
article, the ANN approach was applied to analyze TFR in Brazil. The employed
annual data covers the period 1960-2018 and the out-of-sample period ranges
over the period 2019-2030. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria
(Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied model indicate that the model is stable in
forecasting TFR in Brazil. The results of the study indicate that annual total
fertility rates in Brazil are likely to be 1.9 births per woman throughout the
out-of-sample period. Therefore, the Brazilian government is encouraged to
promote child bearing by providing pro-fertility incentives to couples and
lowering the cost of raising children.
Country : Zimbabwe
1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO3 Thabani NYONI
ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
Independent Health Economist, Zimbabwe
SAGIT Innovation Center, Harare, Zimbabwe
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