Projection of Total Fertility Rate (TFR) in Djibouti

Abstract

In this piece of work, the ANN approach was applied to analyze TFR in Djibouti. The employed annual data covers the period 1960-2018 and the out-of-sample period ranges over the period 2019-2030. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied model indicate that the model is stable in forecasting TFR in Djibouti. The results of the paper indicated that annual total fertility rates in Djibouti are likely to slightly drop over the out-of-sample period. Therefore, authorities in Djibouti are encouraged to focus on improving access to sexual and reproductive health (SRH) services among adolescents and young adults. 

Country : Zimbabwe

1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO3 Thabani NYONI

  1. ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
  2. Independent Health Economist, Zimbabwe
  3. SAGIT Innovation Center, Harare, Zimbabwe

IRJIET, Volume 5, Issue 8, August 2021 pp. 171-174

doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2021.508034

References

  1. Worldometer (2020). Djibouti demographics. https://www.worldometers.info
  2. United Nations (1995). Report of the International Conference on Population and Development: Cairo, 5–13 September 1994 New York. Available from: http://www.unfpa.org/ sites/default/files/event-pdf/icpd_eng_2.pdf
  3. Family Planning 2020 (FP2020) (2013). FP2020 partnership in action 2012–2013. Available from: http://advancefamilyplanning.org/sites/default/files/ resources/FP2020_PartnershipInAction_2012-2013_lores.pdf
  4. International Planned Parenthood Federation (IPPF) (2013).  New IPPF/UNFPA initiative on family planning announced. Available from: http://www.ippf.org/news/NewIPPFUNFPA-Initiative-Family-Planning-announced.