Projection of Total Fertility Rate (TFR) in Equatorial Guinea
Abstract
In this research
paper, the ANN approach was applied to analyze TFR in Equatorial Guinea. The
employed annual data covers the period 1960-2019 and the out-of-sample period ranges
over the period 2019-2030. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria
(Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied model indicate that the model is stable in
forecasting TFR in Equatorial Guinea. The results of the study indicate that annual total fertility rates in Equatorial Guinea are likely to rise first up to 5.2 births per
woman in 2028 and then decline over the rest of the out-of-sample period Therefore, the
government of Equatorial Guinea is encouraged to focus on creating more demand for family
planning services by targeting adolescents and young adults, and promote women
empowerment.
Country : Zimbabwe
1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO3 Thabani NYONI
ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
Independent Health Economist, Zimbabwe
SAGIT Innovation Center, Harare, Zimbabwe
IRJIET, Volume 5, Issue 8, August 2021 pp. 187-190
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2020Highlights
