Projection of Total Fertility Rate (TFR) in Guinea Bissau
Abstract
In this research
article, the ANN approach was applied to analyze TFR in Guinea Bissau. The
employed annual data covers the period 1960-2018 and the out-of-sample period
ranges over the period 2019-2030. The residuals and forecast evaluation
criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied model indicate that the model is
stable in forecasting TFR in Guinea Bissau. The results of the study indicate that annual total fertility rates in Guinea Bissau are likely to remain around 5.0 births per
woman throughout the out-of-sample period. Therefore, the
government of Guinea Bissau is encouraged to focus on addressing barriers to accessing
sexual and reproductive health (SRH) services among adolescents
and young adults, and scale up women empowerment program activities.
Country : Zimbabwe
1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO3 Thabani NYONI
ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
Independent Health Economist, Zimbabwe
SAGIT Innovation Center, Harare, Zimbabwe
IRJIET, Volume 5, Issue 8, August 2021 pp. 260-263
