Projection of Total Fertility Rate (TFR) in India

In this research article, the ANN approach was applied to analyze TFR in India. The employed annual data covers the period 1960-2018 and the out-of-sample period ranges over the period 2019-2030. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied model indicate that the model is stable in forecasting TFR in India. The results of the study indicate that annual total fertility rates in India are likely to be around 2.3 births per woman over the out-of-sample period. Therefore, the Indian government must continue implementing its current population control policy.