Projection of Total Fertility Rate (TFR) in Romania
Abstract
In this research paper, the ANN approach was
applied to analyze TFR in Romania. The employed annual data covers the period
1960-2019 and the out-of-sample period ranges over the period 2019-2030. The
residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied
model indicate that the model is stable in forecasting TFR in Romania. The
results of the study indicate that annual total fertility rates in Romania are
likely to hover around 1 birth per woman over the out-of-sample period.
Therefore, the government is encouraged to promote child bearing by providing
incentives to couples.
Country : Zimbabwe
1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO3 Thabani NYONI
ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
Independent Health Economist, Zimbabwe
SAGIT Innovation Center, Harare, Zimbabwe
IRJIET, Volume 5, Issue 8, August 2021 pp. 404-407
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