In this research
paper, the ANN approach was applied to analyze TFR in Malaysia. The employed
data covers the period 1960-2018 and the out-of-sample period ranges over the
period 2019-2030. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE
and MAE) of the applied model indicate that the model is stable in forecasting
TFR in Malaysia. The model projections suggest that annual total fertility rates in Malaysia are
likely to be around 2.1 births throughout the out-of-sample period. Therefore, the
Malaysian government is encouraged to continue with their 2017 strategic action plan to keep TFR between 1.9
and 2.1 until 2030.
Country : Zimbabwe
1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO3 Thabani NYONI
ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
Independent Health Economist, Zimbabwe
SAGIT Innovation Center, Harare, Zimbabwe
IRJIET, Volume 5, Issue 8, August 2021 pp. 264-267
