Time Series Forecasting Of Total Fertility Rate (TFR) In Saudi Arabia
Abstract
High period fertility
and birth rates used to characterize Saudi Arabia over the past decades. In
this research article, the ANN approach was applied to analyze TFR in Saudi
Arabia. The employed annual data covers the period 1960-2018 and the
out-of-sample period ranges over the period 2019-2030. The residuals and
forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied model indicate
that the model is stable in forecasting TFR in Saudi Arabia. The results of the
study indicate that
annual total fertility rates in the country are likely to decline slightly over
the out-of-sample period. Therefore, the government of Saudi Arabia is
encouraged to (1) create more
demand for family planning services so as to prevent undesirable sexual and
reproductive health (SRH) outcomes among adolescent girls and young women, and
(2) promote female education and women’s rights to curb child marriages and
violation of women’s rights.
Country : Zimbabwe
1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO3 Thabani NYONI
ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
Independent Health Economist, Zimbabwe
SAGIT Innovation Center, Harare, Zimbabwe
IRJIET, Volume 5, Issue 8, August 2021 pp. 392-395
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