Impact Factor (2025): 6.9
DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET
The
Ugandan population pyramid is broad based reflecting high birth rates, high
fertility rates, and lower life expectancies. In this piece of work, the ANN
approach was proposed to analyze TFR in Uganda. The employed annual data covers
the period 1960-2018 and the out-of-sample period ranges over the period
2019-2030. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE)
of the applied model indicate that the model is stable in forecasting TFR in
Uganda. The results of the study indicate that annual total fertility rates in Uganda are likely to remain around 5.0 births per
woman over the out-of-sample period.
Therefore, the Ugandan government is encouraged to focus on creating
more demand for family planning, HIV testing and Antiretroviral therapy (ART)
services, address challenges being faced by adolescents and young adults in
accessing family planning services and continuously fund women empowerment
program activities.
Country : Zimbabwe
IRJIET, Volume 5, Issue 8, August 2021 pp. 474-477