Total Fertility Rate (TFR) Forecasting in Burkina Faso
Abstract
In this research paper, the ANN approach was
applied to analyze TFR in Burkina Faso. The employed annual data covers the
period 1960-2018 and the out-of-sample period ranges over the period 2019-2030.
The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the
applied model indicate that the model is stable in forecasting TFR in Burkina
Faso. The results of the study indicate that the annual total fertility in
Burkina Faso is likely to be around 5.3 births per woman throughout the out of
sample period. Therefore, the government is encouraged to (1) create more
demand for family planning services and improve access to sexual and
reproductive health (SRH) services among adolescents and young adults, and (2)
focus on empowering women through education, equal employment opportunities and
upholding their rights.
Country : Zimbabwe
1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO3 Thabani NYONI
ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
Independent Health Economist, Zimbabwe
SAGIT Innovation Center, Harare, Zimbabwe
IRJIET, Volume 5, Issue 8, August 2021 pp. 179-182
Burkina Faso AFP (2016). High-level Leaders Commit to Integrating
Sexual and Reproductive Health Education in Burkina Faso November 2016 CASE
STUDY, pp 1-4
Burkina Faso Institut national de la
statistique et de la démographie (National Institute of Statistics and
Demography), The Bill & Melinda Gates Institute for Population and
Reproductive Health at The Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health,
Performance Monitoring and Accountability 2020 (PMA2020) Survey round 3,
PMA2016/Burkina Faso-R3. 2016. Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso and Baltimore,
Maryland, USA
