International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology - IRJIET International Open Access, Monthly, Peer Reviewed, Reputed Journal ISSN (online): 2581-3048

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DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET

Univariate Time Series Analysis of Total Fertility Rate (TFR) in Mauritania

Dr. Smartson. P. NYONIZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, ZimbabweTatenda. A. CHIHOHOIndependent Health Economist, ZimbabweThabani NYONISAGIT Innovation Center, Harare, Zimbabwe

Vol 5 No 8 (2021): Volume 5, Issue 8, August 2021 | Pages: 256-259

International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology

OPEN ACCESS | Research Article | Published Date: 17-09-2021

doi Logo doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2021.508055

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Abstract
In this research article, the ANN approach was applied to analyze TFR in Mauritania. The employed annual data covers the period 1960-2018 and the out-of-sample period ranges over the period 2019-2030. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied model indicate that the model is stable in forecasting TFR in Mauritania. The results of the study indicate that annual total fertility rates in Mauritania are likely to slightly decline over the out-of-sample period. Therefore, the government of Mauritania must focus on improving accessibility of sexual and reproductive health (SRH) services to adolescents and young adults, and channel more resources towards women empowerment programs.
Keywords

ANN, Forecasting, Total fertility rate (TFR).


Citation of this Article

Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO, Thabani NYONI, “Univariate Time Series Analysis of Total Fertility Rate (TFR) in Mauritania ” Published in International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology - IRJIET, Volume 5, Issue 8, pp 256-259, August 2021. Article DOI https://doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2021.508055

Licence Copyright (c) 2026 International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology creative common licence This work is licensed under Creative common Attribution Non Commercial 4.0 Internation Licence
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