International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology - IRJIET International Open Access, Monthly, Peer Reviewed, Reputed Journal ISSN (online): 2581-3048

Impact Factor (2025): 6.9

DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET

Univariate Time Series Analysis of Total Fertility Rate (TFR) in Mauritania

Abstract

In this research article, the ANN approach was applied to analyze TFR in Mauritania. The employed annual data covers the period 1960-2018 and the out-of-sample period ranges over the period 2019-2030. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied model indicate that the model is stable in forecasting TFR in Mauritania. The results of the study indicate that annual total fertility rates in Mauritania are likely to slightly decline over the out-of-sample period. Therefore, the government of Mauritania must focus on improving accessibility of sexual and reproductive health (SRH) services to adolescents and young adults, and channel more resources towards women empowerment programs.

Country : Zimbabwe

1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO3 Thabani NYONI

  1. ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
  2. Independent Health Economist, Zimbabwe
  3. SAGIT Innovation Center, Harare, Zimbabwe

IRJIET, Volume 5, Issue 8, August 2021 pp. 256-259

doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2021.508055

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References

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