Impact Factor (2025): 6.9
DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET
This research uses annual time series data of adolescent
fertility rate for Ghana from 1960 to 2020 to predict future trends of
adolescent fertility rate over the period 2021 to 2030. The study utilizes
Holt’s linear exponential smoothing model. The optimal values of smoothing
constants α and β are 0.9 and 0.2 respectively based on minimum MSE. The
results of the study indicate that annual adolescent fertility rate will
continue to decline throughout the out of sample period. Therefore, we
encourage authorities in Ghana to channel more resources towards improving
access and quality of adolescent health services, empowerment of youths through
funding of youth projects that improves their labor participation and ensuring
that all youths get basic education that is critical for understanding sexual
and reproductive issues.
Country : Zimbabwe
IRJIET, Volume 6, Issue 12, December 2022 pp. 281-285