Impact Factor (2025): 6.9
DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET
This study employs annual time series data of adolescent
fertility rate for Ecuador from 1960 to 2020 to predict future trends of
adolescent fertility rate over the period 2021 to 2030. The study utilizes
Holt’s linear exponential smoothing model. The optimal values of smoothing
constants α and β are 0.9 and 0.3 respectively based on minimum MSE. The
results of the study indicate that annual adolescent fertility will continue to
decline but remain high throughout the out of sample period. Therefore, we
encourage authorities in Ecuador to scale up awareness campaigns among
communities, strictly enforce laws that protect women’s rights, promote girl
child education and finance empowerment projects for youths.
Country : Zimbabwe
IRJIET, Volume 6, Issue 12, December 2022 pp. 223-227