Early Identification of Abnormal Future Trends of Adolescent Fertility for Benin Using the Artificial Neural Network Approach
Abstract
This research article uses annual time series
data on adolescent fertility rate for Benin from 1960 to 2020 to predict future
trends of adolescent fertility rate over the period 2021 to 2030. The forecast
evaluation criteria of the applied model indicate that the ANN (12, 12, 1)
model is stable. The neural network model projections revealed that adolescent
fertility is expected to increase and also remain high throughout the out of
sample period. Therefore, we encourage the government of Benin to create more
adolescent friendly facilities, strictly enforce laws to prevent child
marriages and sexual abuse of women, and promote girl child education and fund
empowerment programs for youths.
Country : Zimbabwe
1 Smartson. P. NYONI2 Thabani NYONI
ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
Independent Researcher & Health Economist, Harare, Zimbabwe
IRJIET, Volume 6, Issue 12, December 2022 pp. 128-131
Shalini
Mittal and Tushar Singh (2020).Gender-Based Violence during COVID-19 Pandemic:
A Mini-Review. Front. Glob. Womens Health 1:4. doi: 10.3389/fgwh.2020.00004
World
Health Organization (2014). Adolescent pregnancy Factsheet [Internet]. World
Health Organization. Available from:
http://www.who.int/mediacentre/factsheets/fs364/en/.
Ganchimeg
T., Ota E., Morisaki N., Laopaiboon M., Lumbiganon P., & Zhang (2014). Pregnancy and childbirth
outcomes among adolescent mothers: a World Health Organization multi-country
study. BJOG,121(Suppl 1):40–8
Parsons J.,
Edmeades J., Kes A., Petroni S., Sexton M., & Wodon Q (2015). Economic
impacts of child marriage: a review of the literature. Review Faith Int Affairs.
2015; 13(3):12–22.
Braeken D.,
& Rondinelli I (2012). Sexual and reproductive health needs of young
people: matching needs with systems. Int J Gynaecol Obstet, 119(Suppl 1):S60–3.
Wilson S.,
Daniel S., Pearson J., Hopton C., & Madeley R (1994). An evaluation of a
new teenage clinic and its impact on teenage conceptions in Nottingham from
1986 to 1992. Contraception, 50(1):77–86.
Kennedy E.,
Gray N., Azzopardi P., & Creati M (2011). Adolescent fertility and family
planning in East Asia and the Pacific: a review of DHS reports. Reprod Health.
2011; 8:11.
Crawford T. V., McGrowder DA., & Crawford A (2009). Access to
contraception by minors in Jamaica: a public health concern. N Am J Med Sci,
1(5):247–55.
Walker J.
A. (2012). Early marriage in Africa – Trends, harmful effects, and
interventions. African Journal of Reproductive Health 16(2): 231-240.
