Relying on Empirical Evidence to Address the Challenge of Adolescent Fertility in Cote D’lvoire

Abstract

This research article uses annual time series data of adolescent fertility rate for Cote d’lvoire from 1960 to 2020 to predict future trends of adolescent fertility rate over the period 2021 to 2030. The study utilizes Holt’s linear exponential smoothing model. The optimal values of smoothing constants α and β are0.9 and0.2 respectively based on minimum MSE. The results of the study indicate that annual adolescent fertility will continue to drop but remain very high throughout the forecast period. Therefore, we encourage authorities in Cote d’lvoire to implement intervention activities such as awareness campaigns, promoting girl child education, strictly enforce laws that protect women’s rights, ensuring availability of appropriate and client specific birth control methods at all levels of healthcare and setting up of more adolescent friendly health facilities. 

Country : Zimbabwe

1 Smartson. P. NYONI2 Thabani NYONI

  1. ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
  2. Independent Researcher & Health Economist, Harare, Zimbabwe

IRJIET, Volume 6, Issue 12, December 2022 pp. 197-201

doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2022.612037

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