Impact Factor (2025): 6.9
DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET
This research article uses annual time series data of
adolescent fertility rate for Cote d’lvoire from 1960 to 2020 to predict future
trends of adolescent fertility rate over the period 2021 to 2030. The study
utilizes Holt’s linear exponential smoothing model. The optimal values of
smoothing constants α and β are0.9 and0.2 respectively based on minimum MSE.
The results of the study indicate that annual adolescent fertility will
continue to drop but remain very high throughout the forecast period.
Therefore, we encourage authorities in Cote d’lvoire to implement intervention
activities such as awareness campaigns, promoting girl child education,
strictly enforce laws that protect women’s rights, ensuring availability of
appropriate and client specific birth control methods at all levels of
healthcare and setting up of more adolescent friendly health facilities.
Country : Zimbabwe
IRJIET, Volume 6, Issue 12, December 2022 pp. 197-201