Impact Factor (2025): 6.9
DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET
This research article uses annual time series data of
adolescent fertility rate for the DRC from 1960 to 2020 to predict future
trends of adolescent fertility rate over the period 2021 to 2030. The study
utilizes Holt’s linear exponential smoothing model. The optimal values of
smoothing constants α and β are 0.9 and 0.3 respectively based on minimum MSE. The
results of the study indicate that annual adolescent fertility will continue to
decline but remain very high throughout the out of sample period. Therefore, we
encourage authorities in the DRC to allocate more resources towards adolescent
health in order to facilitate setting up of adolescent friendly clinics,
funding of awareness campaigns and ensuring the availability of medical
supplies that are required in the sexual and reproductive health program.
Country : Zimbabwe
IRJIET, Volume 6, Issue 12, December 2022 pp. 217-222