Tracking Future Trends of Adolescent Fertility for Cabo Verde Using the Artificial Neural Network Approach

Abstract

This research paper employs annual time series data on adolescent fertility rate for Cabo Verde from 1960 to 2020 to predict future trends of adolescent fertility rate over the period 2021 to 2030. The forecast evaluation criteria of the applied model indicate that the ANN (12, 12, 1) model is stable. The neural network model projections revealed that adolescent fertility will decline throughout the out of sample period. Therefore, the government of Cabo Verde should implement strategies such as scaling up awareness campaigns among communities, promote girl child education, protect women’s rights and fund empowerment programs for youths.

Country : Zimbabwe

1 Smartson. P. NYONI2 Thabani NYONI

  1. ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
  2. Independent Researcher & Health Economist, Harare, Zimbabwe

IRJIET, Volume 6, Issue 12, December 2022 pp. 153-156

doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2022.612028

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