Impact Factor (2025): 6.9
DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET
This study uses annual time series data of adolescent
fertility rate for Guatemala from 1960 to 2020 to predict future trends of
adolescent fertility rate over the period 2021 to 2030. The study utilizes
Holt’s linear exponential smoothing model. The optimal values of smoothing
constants α and β are 0.9 and 0.3 respectively based on minimum MSE. The
results of the study indicate that annual adolescent fertility rate will
continue to decline throughout the out of sample period. Therefore, we
encourage authorities in Guatemala to improve accessibility of sexual and
reproductive health services among teenagers, improve girl child education,
scale up awareness campaigns among the communities, provide financial support
to youth empowerment projects and continually enforce laws to protect women’s
rights and end child marriages.
Country : Zimbabwe
IRJIET, Volume 6, Issue 12, December 2022 pp. 286-290