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DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET

Tracking Progress towards Substantial Reduction of Adolescent Fertility for Algeria Using the Double Exponential Smoothing Approach

Smartson. P. NYONIZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, ZimbabweThabani NYONIIndependent Researcher & Health Economist, Harare, Zimbabwe

Vol 6 No 12 (2022): Volume 6, Issue 12, December 2022 | Pages: 79-83

International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology

OPEN ACCESS | Research Article | Published Date: 16-03-2023

doi Logo doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2022.612013

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Abstract

This research article uses annual time series data of adolescent fertility rate for Algeria from 1960 to 2020 to predict future trends of adolescent fertility over the period 2021 to 2030. The study utilizes Holt’s linear exponential smoothing model. The optimal values of smoothing constants α and β are0.9 and0.9 respectively based on minimum MSE. The results of the study indicate that annual adolescent fertility will continue to decline throughout the out of sample period. Therefore, we encourage authorities in Algeria to address local factors which significantly contribute to teenage pregnancy.

Keywords

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Citation of this Article

Smartson. P. NYONI, Thabani NYONI, “Tracking Progress towards Substantial Reduction of Adolescent Fertility for Algeria Using the Double Exponential Smoothing Approach” Published in International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology - IRJIET, Volume 6, Issue 12, pp 79-83, December 2022. Article DOI https://doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2022.612013

Licence Copyright (c) 2026 International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology creative common licence This work is licensed under Creative common Attribution Non Commercial 4.0 Internation Licence
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