Analysis of Under Five Mortality Rate for Uganda Using an Artificial Intelligence Technique
Abstract
This study uses annual time series data on under
five mortality rate (U5MR) for Uganda from 1960 to 2020 to predict future
trends of U5MR over the period 2021 to 2030. Residuals and forecast evaluation
statistics indicate that the applied ANN (12, 12, 1) model is stable in
forecasting U5MR. The results of the study indicate that U5MR will remain high
throughout the out of sample period. Therefore, Ugandan authorities must address
all the factors that significantly contribute to under five mortality across
the country.
Country : Zimbabwe
1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Thabani NYONI
ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
Independent Researcher & Health Economist, Harare, Zimbabwe
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