Analysis of Under Five Mortality Rate for the Philippines Using a Machine Learning Technique

This study uses annual time series data on under five mortality rate for Philippines from 1960 to 2020 to predict future trends of U5MR over the period 2021 to 2030. Residuals and forecast evaluation criteria indicate that the applied ANN (12, 12, 1) model is stable in forecasting under five mortality rate. ANN model projections indicate that annual U5MR will remain around 27 deaths per 1000 live births throughout the out of sample period. Therefore, we encourage the Philippines government to address all the problems that significantly contribute to mortality among under five children.