Impact Factor (2025): 6.9
DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET
This study uses annual time series data on under five
mortality rate (U5MR) for Algeria from 1960 to 2020 to predict future trends of
U5MR over the period 2021 to 2030. The residuals and forecast evaluation
criteria of the applied ANN (12, 12, 1) model indicate that the model is stable
in forecasting U5MR. The results of the study highlighted that U5MR will hover
around 20 deaths per 1000 live births over the out of sample period. Hence,
authorities in Algeria should prioritize maternal and child health programs by
ensuring adequate staffing levels and medical supplies in healthcare
facilities.
Country : Zimbabwe
IRJIET, Volume 6, Issue 7, July 2022 pp. 86-89