Artificial Neural Network Analysis of Under Five Mortality Rate for the United Arab Emirates

Dr. Smartson. P. NYONIZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, ZimbabweThabani NYONIIndependent Researcher & Health Economist, Harare, Zimbabwe

Vol 6 No 7 (2022): Volume 6, Issue 7, July 2022 | Pages: 525-528

International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology

OPEN ACCESS | Research Article | Published Date: 06-09-2022

doi Logo doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2022.607117

Abstract

This study uses annual time series data on under five mortality rate (U5MR) for the United Arab Emirates (UAE) from 1960 to 2020 to predict future trends of U5MR over the out of sample period 2021 to 2030. Residuals and forecast evaluation criteria indicate that the applied ANN (12, 12, 1) model is stable in forecasting U5MR. ANN model projections revealed that U5MR will hover around 8 deaths per 1000 live throughout the out of sample period. Therefore, we encourage authorities in the UAE to continue supporting maternal and child health program in order to keep under five mortality below 25 deaths per 1000 live births. 

Keywords

ANN, Forecasting, U5MR


Citation of this Article

Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Thabani NYONI, “Artificial Neural Network Analysis of Under Five Mortality Rate for the United Arab Emirates” Published in International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology - IRJIET, Volume 6, Issue 7, pp 525-528, July 2022. Article DOI https://doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2022.607117

References
  1. UNICEF. (2019). Levels and trends in child mortality: report 2019. Estimates developed by the UN Inter-agency Group for child mortality estimation. New York: UNICEF.
  2. United Nations. (2015). transforming our world: The 2030 agenda for sustainable development, A/RES/70/1. New York: UN General Assembly.
  3. UN (2020) sustainable development goals. https://www.un.org/sustainabl development/development-agenda
  4. UNICEF (2018). Every Child alive. New York: UNICEF
  5. World Health Organization (WHO) (2019). SDG 3: Ensure healthy lives and promote wellbeing for all at all ages.
  6. United Nation. Transforming our world: The 2030 agenda for sustainable development 2016.