Impact Factor (2025): 6.9
DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET
This study uses annual time series data on under five
mortality rate (U5MR) for Mozambique from 1963 to 2020 to predict future trends
of U5MR over the period 2021 to 2030. Residuals and forecast evaluation
criteria indicate that the applied ANN (12, 12, 1) model is stable in
forecasting under five mortality rate. The ANN model projections revealed that
U5MR will remain very high throughout the out of sample period. Therefore, we
encourage the Mozambican government to address all the major challenges that
hinder the success of the maternal and child health (MNCH) program and ensure
availability of medical supplies and staff at all levels of healthcare.
Country : Zimbabwe
IRJIET, Volume 6, Issue 7, July 2022 pp. 386-389