Impact Factor (2025): 6.9
DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET
This study uses annual time series data on under five
mortality rate for India from 1960 to 2020 to predict future trends of U5MR
over the period 2021 to 2030. Residuals and forecast evaluation criteria
indicate that the applied model is stable in forecasting U5MR. The ANN (12, 12,
1) model projections indicate that U5MR will continue to decline throughout the
out of sample period. Hence, we implore the Indian government to design child
health policies that will reduce U5MR to levels below 25 deaths per 1000 live
births and address various challenges existing in the rural areas and other
disadvantaged communities across the country.
Country : Zimbabwe
IRJIET, Volume 6, Issue 7, July 2022 pp. 288-291