Assessment of the Feasibility of Achieving Substantial Reduction of Under Five Mortality for Pakistan Using Artificial Neural Networks
Abstract
This study uses annual time series data on under
five mortality rate for Pakistan from 1960 to 2020 to predict future trends of
U5MR over the period 2021 to 2030. Residuals and forecast evaluation indicate
that the applied ANN (12, 12, 1) model is stable in forecasting under five
mortality in Pakistan. The ANN model projections indicate that U5MR will remain
high throughout the out of sample period. Therefore, the government of Pakistan
should address various challenges that hinder success of
the maternal and child health (MNCH) program.
Country : Zimbabwe
1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Thabani NYONI
ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
Independent Researcher & Health Economist, Harare, Zimbabwe
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