Impact Factor (2025): 6.9
DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET
This study uses annual time series data on under five
mortality rate (U5MR) for Austria from 1960 to 2020 to predict future trends of
U5MR over the period 2021 to 2030. The model evaluation criteria indicate that
the applied Holt’s linear model is stable in forecasting under five mortality
rate in Austria. Optimal values of smoothing constants α and β are 0.9 and 0.1
respectively based on minimum MSE. The results of the study indicate that
annual U5MR will continue to decline over the out of sample period. Therefore,
the Austrian government is encouraged to craft child health policies that will
help maintain under five mortality below 25 deaths per 1000 live births.
Country : Zimbabwe
IRJIET, Volume 6, Issue 7, July 2022 pp. 98-102