Impact Factor (2025): 6.9
DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET
This study
uses annual time series data on under five mortality rate for Mali from 1963 to
2020 to predict future trends of U5MR over the period 2021 to 2030. Residuals
and forecast evaluation criteria indicate that the applied ANN (12, 12,1) model
is stable in forecasting U5MR in Mali. The ANN model projections revealed that annual
U5MR will continue to decline over the out of sample period but will remain
high. Therefore, we encourage the government of Mali to urgently address all
the major challenges that hinder the success of the maternal and child health
program in order to substantially reduce under five mortality to as low as 25
deaths per 1000 live births by 2030.
Country : Zimbabwe
IRJIET, Volume 6, Issue 7, July 2022 pp. 357-360