International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology - IRJIET International Open Access, Monthly, Peer Reviewed, Reputed Journal ISSN (online): 2581-3048

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DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET

Forecasting Future Trends of Under Five Mortality Rate for Peru Using an Artificial Intelligence Technique

Dr. Smartson. P. NYONIZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, ZimbabweThabani NYONIIndependent Researcher & Health Economist, Harare, Zimbabwe

Vol 6 No 7 (2022): Volume 6, Issue 7, July 2022 | Pages: 422-425

International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology

OPEN ACCESS | Research Article | Published Date: 06-09-2022

doi Logo doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2022.607092

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Abstract

This study uses annual time series data on under five mortality rate (U5MR) for Peru from 1960 to 2020 to predict future trends of U5MR over the period 2021 to 2030. Residuals and forecast evaluation criteria indicate that the applied ANN (12, 12, 1) model is stable in forecasting under five mortality rate. ANN model projections indicate that U5MR will continue to decline throughout the out of sample period. Therefore, we encourage the government of Peru to continue supporting maternal and child health (MNCH) program activities in the country to keep under five mortality below 25 deaths per 1000 live births. 

Keywords

ANN, Forecasting, U5MR


Citation of this Article

Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Thabani NYONI, “Forecasting Future Trends of Under Five Mortality Rate for Peru Using an Artificial Intelligence Technique” Published in International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology - IRJIET, Volume 6, Issue 7, pp 77-80, July 2022. Article DOI https://doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2022.607092

Licence Copyright (c) 2026 International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology creative common licence This work is licensed under Creative common Attribution Non Commercial 4.0 Internation Licence
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