International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology - IRJIET International Open Access, Monthly, Peer Reviewed, Reputed Journal ISSN (online): 2581-3048

Impact Factor (2025): 6.9

DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET

Forecasting Future Trends of Under Five Mortality Rate for Peru Using an Artificial Intelligence Technique

Abstract

This study uses annual time series data on under five mortality rate (U5MR) for Peru from 1960 to 2020 to predict future trends of U5MR over the period 2021 to 2030. Residuals and forecast evaluation criteria indicate that the applied ANN (12, 12, 1) model is stable in forecasting under five mortality rate. ANN model projections indicate that U5MR will continue to decline throughout the out of sample period. Therefore, we encourage the government of Peru to continue supporting maternal and child health (MNCH) program activities in the country to keep under five mortality below 25 deaths per 1000 live births. 

Country : Zimbabwe

1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Thabani NYONI

  1. ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
  2. Independent Researcher & Health Economist, Harare, Zimbabwe

IRJIET, Volume 6, Issue 7, July 2022 pp. 422-425

doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2022.607092

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