Impact Factor (2025): 6.9
DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET
This study uses annual time series data on under five
mortality rate (U5MR) for Hungary from 1960 to 2020 to predict future trends of
U5MR over the period 2021 to 2030. Residuals and forecast evaluation criteria
indicate that the Holt’s linear method is stable for forecasting U5MR. Optimal
values of smoothing constants α and β are 0.9and 0.1 respectively based on
minimum MSE. The results of the study indicate that annual U5MR will be under
control over the out of sample period. Therefore, the government should
continue supporting maternal and child health programs in order to end all
preventable under five deaths.
Country : Zimbabwe
IRJIET, Volume 6, Issue 7, July 2022 pp. 283-287