Impact Factor (2025): 6.9
DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET
This study
uses annual time series data on under five (U5MR) for Maldives from 1962 to
2020 to predict future trends of U5MR over the period 2021 to 2030. Residuals
and model evaluation statistics indicate that the applied Holt’s linear method
is stable in forecasting U5MR in Maldives. The optimal values of smoothing
parameters α and β are 0.9 and 0.2 respectively based on minimum MSE. The
double exponential smoothing model projections revealed that under five
mortality will be under control throughout the out of sample period. Therefore,
we implore the government of Maldives to address all the existing challenges
that contribute to mortality among under five children in order to keep under
five mortality under control.
Country : Zimbabwe
IRJIET, Volume 6, Issue 7, July 2022 pp. 352-356