Impact Factor (2025): 6.9
DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET
This study uses annual time series data on under five
mortality rate (U5MR) for Mauritius from 1960 to 2020 to predict future trends
of U5MR over the period 2021 to 2030. Residuals and forecast evaluation
statistics indicate that the applied ANN (12, 12, 1) model is stable in
forecasting under five mortality rate. The ANN model projections revealed that
U5MR will remain around 15 deaths per 1000 live births throughout the out of
sample period. Therefore, we encourage the government of Mauritius to channel
more resources to the maternal and child health program to ensure availability
of adequate medical supplies and medical staff to keep under five mortality
under control.
Country : Zimbabwe
IRJIET, Volume 6, Issue 7, July 2022 pp. 374-377