Impact Factor (2025): 6.9
DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET
This study
uses annual time series data on under five mortality rate (U5MR) for Kuwait
from 1960 to 2020to predict future trends of U5MR over the period 2021 to 2030.
Residuals and forecast evaluation criteria indicate that the applied model is
stable in forecasting under five mortality rate in Kuwait. Holt’s linear
exponential smoothing model was applied in this paper to project under five
mortality rate. Optimal values of smoothing constants α and β are 0.9 and 0.1 respectively based on minimum
MSE. The results of the study indicate that annual U5MR will continue to drop
over the out of sample period. Hence, authorities in Kuwait should create local
strategies that will effectively address the various issues that contribute
significantly to mortality among under five children.
Country : Zimbabwe
IRJIET, Volume 6, Issue 7, July 2022 pp. 317-321