International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology - IRJIET International Open Access, Monthly, Peer Reviewed, Reputed Journal ISSN (online): 2581-3048

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DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET

Projecting Future Trends of Under Five Mortality Rate for Jamaica Using Artificial Neural Networks

Dr. Smartson. P. NYONIZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, ZimbabweThabani NYONIIndependent Researcher & Health Economist, Harare, Zimbabwe

Vol 6 No 7 (2022): Volume 6, Issue 7, July 2022 | Pages: 305-308

International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology

OPEN ACCESS | Research Article | Published Date: 18-08-2022

doi Logo doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2022.607064

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Abstract

This study uses annual time series data on under five mortality rate (U5MR) for Jamaica from 1960 to 2020 to predict future trends of U5MR over the period 2021 to 2030. Residuals and forecast evaluation indicate that the applied model is stable in stable in forecasting under five mortality rate. The ANN (12, 12, 1) model projections revealed thatU5MR will continue to decline throughout the out of sample period. Therefore, we encourage the Jamaican government to continue supporting maternal and child health (MNCH) program and address all the challenges that contribute to under five mortality. 

Keywords

ANN, Forecasting, U5MR


Citation of this Article

Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Thabani NYONI, “Projecting Future Trends of Under Five Mortality Rate for Jamaica Using Artificial Neural Networks” Published in International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology - IRJIET, Volume 6, Issue 7, pp 305-308, July 2022. Article DOI https://doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2022.607064

Licence Copyright (c) 2026 International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology creative common licence This work is licensed under Creative common Attribution Non Commercial 4.0 Internation Licence
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