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DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET

Projection of Future Trends of Under Five Mortality Rate for Costa Rica Using Artificial Neural Networks

Dr. Smartson. P. NYONIZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, ZimbabweThabani NYONIIndependent Researcher & Health Economist, Harare, Zimbabwe

Vol 6 No 7 (2022): Volume 6, Issue 7, July 2022 | Pages: 192-195

International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology

OPEN ACCESS | Research Article | Published Date: 18-08-2022

doi Logo doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2022.607039

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Abstract

This study uses annual time series data on under five mortality rate (U5MR) for Costa Rica from 1960 to 2020 to predict future trends of U5MR over the period 2021 to 2030.Residuals and forecast performance measures indicate that the ANN (12, 12, 1) applied model is stable in forecasting U5MR in Costa Rica. ANN model projections revealed that annual U5MR will remain around 9 deaths per 1000 live births throughout the out of sample period. Hence, we implore the government of Costa Rica to craft strategies that will effectively maintain under five mortality below 25 deaths per 1000 live births.

Keywords

ANN, Forecasting, U5MR


Citation of this Article

Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Thabani NYONI, “Projection of Future Trends of Under Five Mortality Rate for Costa Rica Using Artificial Neural Networks” Published in International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology - IRJIET, Volume 6, Issue 7, pp 192-195, July 2022. Article DOI https://doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2022.607039

Licence Copyright (c) 2026 International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology creative common licence This work is licensed under Creative common Attribution Non Commercial 4.0 Internation Licence
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