International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology - IRJIET International Open Access, Monthly, Peer Reviewed, Reputed Journal ISSN (online): 2581-3048

Impact Factor (2025): 6.9

DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET

Projection of Future Trends of Under Five Mortality Rate for Costa Rica Using Artificial Neural Networks

Abstract

This study uses annual time series data on under five mortality rate (U5MR) for Costa Rica from 1960 to 2020 to predict future trends of U5MR over the period 2021 to 2030.Residuals and forecast performance measures indicate that the ANN (12, 12, 1) applied model is stable in forecasting U5MR in Costa Rica. ANN model projections revealed that annual U5MR will remain around 9 deaths per 1000 live births throughout the out of sample period. Hence, we implore the government of Costa Rica to craft strategies that will effectively maintain under five mortality below 25 deaths per 1000 live births.

Country : Zimbabwe

1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Thabani NYONI

  1. ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
  2. Independent Researcher & Health Economist, Harare, Zimbabwe

IRJIET, Volume 6, Issue 7, July 2022 pp. 192-195

doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2022.607039

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