Impact Factor (2025): 6.9
DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET
This study uses annual time series data on under five
mortality rate for Indonesia from 1960 to 2020 to predict future trends of U5MR
over the period 2021 to 2030. Residuals and forecast evaluation criteria
indicate that the applied model is stable in forecasting U5MR. The ANN (12, 12,
1) model projections revealed that U5MR will remain around 20 deaths per 1000
live births throughout the out of sample period. Therefore, we encourage the
Indonesian government to address all the factors that significantly contribute
to under five mortality across the country especially in the rural areas and
disadvantaged communities.
Country : Zimbabwe
IRJIET, Volume 6, Issue 7, July 2022 pp. 292-295