Tracking Future Trends of Under Five Mortality Rate for Singapore Using an Artificial Intelligence Technique

This study uses annual time series data on under five mortality rate for Singapore from 1960 to 2020 to predict future trends of U5MR over the period 2021 to 2030. Residuals and forecast evaluation criteria indicate that the applied ANN (12, 12, 1) model is stable in forecasting U5MR. ANN model predictions revealed that annual U5MR will remain around 3 deaths per 1000 live births throughout the out of sample period. Therefore, we implore health authorities in Singapore to continue supporting maternal and child health program activities to keep under five mortality under control.